19-21 JUNE 2017 | SHORT COURSE

Introduction to Energy Systems Models – STREAM, a simulation tool

Curso em inglês, “Introdução à modelos de sistemas de energia – STREAM, uma ferramenta de simulação”

Amalia Rosa Pizarro Alonso (DTU) e Rasmus Bo Bramstoft Pedersen (DTU)
Universidade Técnica da Dinamarca (DTU)

Abstract

O Centro de Pesquisa para Inovação em Gás Natural (“Research Centre for Gas Innovation”, RCGI) da Universidade de São Paulo, realiza pesquisa em modelagem e simulação de cenários de longo prazo de emissões de gases de efeito estufa no setor de energia no Brasil, além das possíveis contribuições do gás natural para a implementação da Contribuição Nacionalmente Determinada (“Nationally Determined Contribution”, NDC) do Brasil, ao Acordo de Paris no âmbito da Convenção Quadro das Nações Unidas sobre a Mudança do Clima (“United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change”, UNFCCC). No setor de energia o a governo federal determinou em legislação (Decreto 7390, 2010) que os Planos Decenais de Expansão de Energia, produzidos pela empresa de Pesquisa Energética do Ministério das Minas e Energia, são considerados para efeito de regulamentação como o plano setorial de mitigação no setor de energia. De acordo com estes planos e com a NDC brasileira a participação do setor de energia nas emissões de gases de efeito estufa do Brasil passarão de 9,1% em 2005 para 42,5% em 2030, deixando de ser marginal para ser a principal contribuição setorial no país. Nesse sentido é imperioso que a academia disponibilize alternativas de cenários de evolução dos sistemas de energia (matriz energética nacional) que permitam ao país a busca do crescimento econômico de maneira socialmente e ambientalmente sustentáveis. Para tanto é necessário o aumento da capacidade de modelagem dos possíveis alternativas de evolução dos sistemas de energia a serem apresentados aos formuladores de políticas e, em última análise, à sociedade brasileira, para uma tomada de decisão embasada nas melhores informações disponíveis. Nesse sentido, o RCGI-IEE-USP e a Universidade Técnica de Dinamarca (DTU) oferecerão um curso rápido (3 dias) e prático (exercícios aplicados à realidade do setor de energia no Estado de São Paulo) de introdução à modelagem de sistemas de energia de 19 a 21 de junho de 2017.

Agenda / Programa

Day 1 – Monday, June 19, 2017

 Introduction to the course – goals and expectations
 Energy system models – Introduction
 What is STREAM? Some examples of its use and linkage to other models
 Introduction to the STREAM Light Sheet
 Theme presentation – Energy Demand forecast and resource potentials
o Exercise 1: Use of the STREAM Light Sheet
— Lunch —
 Theme presentation – Conversion technologies and modelling of the transport sector
 Introduction to the Flow Model sheet of STREAM
o Exercise 2: Use of the Flow Model
 Q&A


Day 2 – Tuesday, June 20, 2017

 Introduction to day 2 – start modelling the region of São Paulo in STREAM
 Theme presentation ‐ Introduction to Duration curves and time series
 Introduction to the Duration Curve model in STREAM ‐ including priority of dispatch and flexible demand
o Exercise 3: Use of the Duration Curve model
 Group work
o Make study groups: 2‐4 persons in each group
o Find data for São Paulo and implement them in STREAM ‐ Either each group finds all data or assign some groups to a sector and then share data
— Lunch —
 Energy policies in São Paulo (RCGI/IEE/USP and State of Sao Paulo Energy and Mines Secretary)
 Agree on base year data for São Paulo
 Group work:
o Create a future scenario for São Paulo
o Describe targets and related policies
o Present the outline for the other groups
 Q&A


Day 3 – Wednesday, June 21, 2017

 Theme presentation – Modelling of uncertainty and sensitivity analyses
 Group work:
o Implement scenario for São Paulo in STREAM
o Check the system in Duration Curve
o Prepare presentation of scenario in plenum
— Lunch —
 Presentation of scenarios and discussion of results
 Group discussion of the use of STREAM for scenario building
 Feedback on the course

Personal bios of the guests

Amalia Rosa Pizarro Alonso (DTU)

I am an Associate Researcher at the Technical University of Denmark in the division of Energy Systems Analysis from 2014. My field of research is modelling of energy systems, using Balmorel, with a focus on modelling of network flows, for optimal integration of value chains; such as gas, biomass and waste; including resource transportation, distribution and storage, within the boundaries of scenarios with large shares of variable renewable energy.
I graduated from the Technical University of Denmark in Sustainable Energy in 2014 and in Chemical Engineering from the Complutense University of Madrid in 2011. After my first studies, I worked as a chemical engineer in the R&D centre of CEPSA (Spanish Oil Company).
Nowadays, I am participating in several projects involving energy systems. I have contributed to the development of a new optimization model, OptiFlow, which optimizes, with a multi-criteria approach, the integration of network flows (biomass, gas, hydropower) within the boundaries of the energy system. It can be used in a stand-alone mode, or linked to Balmorel or other energy models, such as TIMES.


Rasmus Bo Bramstoft Pedersen (DTU)

I am an Associate Researcher at the Technical University of Denmark (DTU) in the division of System Analysis. My work structure is characterized by an analytical approach to problems with great attention to details while simultaneously keeping track of complex situations. It is important for me to deliver a product that is of a high quality, both with respect to the academic content and the visual layout. Additionally, I am a person with ambitions, which previously has been reflected in several years of handball at a professional level. Now, my academic career is in focus, where I also want to meet my high ambitions.

Details

Date: 19-21 JUNE 2017
Time: from 9 am to 5 pm

Address
RCGI – Research Centre for Gas Innovation
Prédio da Engenharia Mecânica e Naval
Av. Professor Mello Moraes, 2231
University of São Paulo
Escola Politécnica | Cidade Universitária
São Paulo – SP, 05508-030 | Brazil

Contact:
+55 (11) 9-83818869 (A. Ricardo J. Esparta, pesquisador do RCGI-IEE-USP, e-mail: esparta@iee.usp.br) ou +55 (11) 3091-2641 (Prof. Edmilson Moutinho dos Santos, IEE-USP, e-mail: edsantos@iee.usp.br).